Meaning & use

probability

noun·Academic

Last updated

UK/ˌprɒbəˈbɪləti/
US/ˌprɑːbəˈbɪləti/

Meanings

  1. nouncountable or uncountable

    How likely it is that something will happen, judged from evidence or reasoning and sometimes stated as a figure.

    Grammar: Uncountable for the general idea (there is little probability of rain); countable for a particular chance (a high probability).

    Patterns

    • the probability of something
    • the probability that something happens

    There is a high probability that the match will be postponed.

    The probability of rolling a six on a fair die is one in six.

    Doctors explained the probability of a full recovery.

  2. noununcountablemathematics

    The branch of mathematics that studies chance and measures how likely outcomes are, usually with values from 0 to 1.

    Grammar: Used without an or an: she studies probability and statistics.

    Our teacher introduced probability with coin tosses and playing cards.

    Insurance companies rely heavily on probability to set prices.

    He has a degree in probability theory.

  3. nouncountableformal

    Something that is likely to be true or to happen.

    Grammar: Often appears in the phrase in all probability, meaning very likely.

    Patterns

    • in all probability

    In all probability, the flight will leave on time.

    Rain tomorrow is a strong probability.

    The report called the shortage a near probability.

Word forms

pluralprobabilities

Common combinations

high probability
A high probability of snow kept many drivers at home.
low probability
Experts see a low probability of another outbreak.
in all probability
In all probability, she will accept the offer.
calculate the probability
Students must calculate the probability of drawing a red card.
probability theory
Probability theory underlies many forms of data analysis.
the probability of success
Careful planning raises the probability of success.

Synonyms and how they differ

likelihood
Likelihood is the everyday word for how probable something is, while probability is the more exact term in mathematics.
chance
Chance is informal and often refers to one opportunity, whereas probability suggests a measured or reasoned estimate.
odds
Odds compare the chance of something happening with the chance of it not happening, usually in betting, rather than giving a single figure.
prospect
Prospect looks forward at a possible future event, often one that is hoped for or feared, without any measured estimate.

Opposites

improbabilityimpossibility

Word family

probable adjective
likely to happen or be true
probably adverb
most likely
improbable adjective
not likely to happen
improbability noun
the quality of being unlikely
probabilistic adjective
based on probability

Commonly confused: probability or possibility?

probability vs possibility

A possibility is anything that could happen, even if it is unlikely; probability says how likely it is.

Practice

A forecaster says there is a 90 percent ___ of heavy rain tonight. Which word fits best?

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